Saturday, June 9, 2012

Fight Night: Manny Pacquiao vs. Timothy Bradley



First-take: 
While this fight should result entertaining and intense, there is no doubt in my mind that Manny will come out victorious. Bradley is neither strong enough to knock down Pacquiao, nor capable of dominating him and beating him by decision.

Odds and Over/Under:
According to World Sports Exchange (wsex.com), Manny is the favorite to win the bout, likely after the half way point of the 10th round.
In the event of an upset, a $100 dollar bet in favor of Bradley would result in a $300 payout. While a wager of $400 on Pacquiao is required for a $100 profit to be made if Pacquiao should win the fight.

With the above example, in order to win $100 on the over, a $250 bet must be made on the fight lasting beyond the midway point of the 10th round. If the match ends before the 1:30 mark of round 10, a $100 bet would yield a $200 profit.



In Depth:
Timothy Bradley simply does not have what it takes to beat Manny Pacquiao. And in the event that the fight turns out to be a close one, the judges would award Pac-Man the decision, as he holds the belt. In other words, Desert Storm would have to make a convincing case for himself if he hopes to pull a victory on a decision against Pacquiao. 

One thing to look out for in the fight is Bradley's head. Well, I guess you won't really have to "look out" for it, that thing is enormous. LOL. The frequency with which Bradley head-butts has been called suspect by many. Freddie Roach and the rest of Manny's camp have even made avoiding Bradley's dome piece a key component of training. Bradley himself has made a conscious effort throughout camp to stay on his back foot, in an attempt to take his head out of the equation. I, for one, think that once Bradley gets a taste of Pacquiao's power, he'll revert to his head-butting ways.

After watching HBO's Pacquiao/Bradley edition of 24/7 (always awesome), I got the sense that Bradley genuinely feels that he is going to win the fight. I'd even go as far as saying he was a bit too convinced, not fully acknowledging the greatness that is Manny Pacquiao. Clips from the weigh in reveal an overly intense Bradley, who seems to almost lean forward to create extra intimidation during the stare down. While Manny presented himself with his usual, almost happy-go-lucky, smirky smile. (And if you don't believe that he was smiling, this is what Pacquiao said when asked why he was smiling during the stare down: "I'm happy because God is with me." (http://www.gmanews.tv)



So who do you guys have winning the fight?

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